Forex Market Analysis: Impact of Trump's Tariff Plans on Major Currency Pairs and Gold Prices

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Overview of Today's Forex Market

The Forex market witnessed significant movements today, largely influenced by President Trump's recent tariff announcements. These developments have led to notable fluctuations in major currency pairs such as the AUD/USD, EUR/USD, and USD/JPY, and have also impacted gold prices. This article delves into the specifics of these changes, providing a detailed analysis of how Trump's tariffs have reshaped Forex trading dynamics.

AUD/USD and NZD/USD Movements

The Australian Dollar (AUD) saw a sharp rise against the US Dollar (USD), with the AUD/USD pair jumping to near 0.6350. This movement is attributed to the plummeting US Dollar following Trump's tariff plan. Concurrently, the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) has shown resilience, trading within a predicted range of 0.5670 to 0.5770 against the USD. Analysts from UOB Group suggest that the NZD/USD pair is likely to maintain this range, with occasional rebounds like the recent close at 0.5701.

Impact on EUR/USD and GBP/USD

The Euro (EUR) made significant gains against the US Dollar, with the EUR/USD pair surging above 1.1100, marking its highest level since October. This was primarily due to the weakening of the USD amidst tariff-induced market shifts. Similarly, the British Pound (GBP) also strengthened considerably, with the GBP/USD pair hitting a 21-week high at 1.3064. This improvement in the Pound's performance is seen as a reaction to the broader weakening of the USD and ongoing adjustments in global trade expectations.

USD/JPY and Safe-Haven Currencies

The Japanese Yen (JPY), a recognized safe-haven currency, appreciated against the USD with the USD/JPY pair falling to 146.69. This movement was driven by heightened demand for safe-haven assets amid global financial uncertainty triggered by reciprocal tariff rates. Similarly, the Swiss Franc (CHF) also gained against the USD, with the USD/CHF pair experiencing a significant drop, underscoring the shift towards safer investments during turbulent times.

Gold and Silver Market Reactions

Gold prices reached record highs, driven by the market's reaction to the new tariffs and the anticipation of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. However, following an initial surge to an all-time high of $3,167, gold prices saw a slight correction, stabilizing at around $3,130. Silver, while also initially rising, faced a downturn, with prices falling to $32.75 per troy ounce. These movements reflect the complex interplay between geopolitical developments and commodity markets.

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